Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 233.542760 263.293913 296.423767 336.243032 383.055749 436.651820 503.100487
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 196.071125 236.780441 286.305730 351.808332 437.406868 547.240966 701.796975
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 177.565773 224.336128 284.696303 369.980247 490.186658 658.072281 918.800696
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 158.398805 206.946179 272.443563 369.813419 515.509910 733.539431 1101.557297
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 140.748553 188.751963 255.814777 359.654660 522.815929 781.520270 1250.795491
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 126.881690 173.974451 241.760363 350.502800 528.922352 827.007622 1405.139895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 120.259749 168.727941 240.701978 360.572085 566.628781 931.263759 1694.072650
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 112.623286 161.082435 234.958139 361.999963 589.407016 1012.884790 1962.159497
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 104.256030 151.487663 225.070479 355.039986 595.806413 1064.336739 2180.828301
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 98.435196 145.318071 219.976249 355.500107 615.632991 1145.871893 2495.660942
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 91.803018 137.288796 211.032261 347.952678 618.688609 1192.717983 2740.443603
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 87.009022 131.859303 205.931606 346.738855 634.020005 1269.387152 3093.956634
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 79.827974 122.126134 192.914446 329.781421 615.464977 1267.293581 3230.274568
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 78.262647 121.717488 196.143861 344.416619 666.768798 1445.051913 4005.970167
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 77.212606 122.067921 200.694338 362.159427 728.221446 1666.230508 5065.855338
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 73.772957 117.975683 196.732464 361.991979 748.150378 1781.891796 5813.749695
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 69.384853 111.903917 188.583977 352.103066 743.017739 1825.170210 6296.487584
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 65.486487 106.472575 181.247127 343.192172 738.996756 1871.297575 6828.335209
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 64.101258 105.512716 182.413332 352.996206 784.549890 2085.193295 8343.142495
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 61.857553 102.817502 179.957945 354.386313 808.192626 2236.060505 9682.984121
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 58.906591 98.624208 174.213443 347.610078 808.388689 2306.902903 10635.670966
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 56.907181 96.110660 171.671755 348.058080 829.105502 2459.106104 12285.614216
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 54.274637 92.243204 166.097981 340.708923 826.081315 2521.792706 13400.255671